Economist 2024 Presidential Election. On the final day, kamala harris moves into a narrow lead. In gelman et al.’s (2024) piece for the 2024 election theme, the authors take a hard look at both widely acknowledged and, more interestingly, the most unacknowledged.
Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall A great deal is uncertain, but a few of the building blocks of an economic forecast are pretty clear.